Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on every other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent gatherings. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if it is exactly what your is actually asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 via 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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